Det tredje kvartalet går mot sitt slut, och vi djupdyker i Q3-rapporterna från NIBE, Metacon och Björn Borg tillsammans med analytikern Lucas, som har expertinsikt i dessa bolag. Vi summerar rapporternas höjdpunkter, diskuterar nyckelfaktorer som påverkat utvecklingen under kvartalet och blickar framåt mot bolagens framtidsutsikter. Ta del av alla analyser och ställ dina frågor direkt på forumet, där Lucas alltid finns redo att svara.

NIBE’s Q3 result was operationally slightly below our expectations, and we made small revisions to our short- and medium-term estimates. However, the company's outlook continues to show signs of a recovery in the destocking situation, but overall, the current year and at least the first half of next year will still be challenging. Eventually, demand at the manufacturer level will better correspond to underlying end consumer demand and the normalization of capacity utilization and the cost savings program should provide leverage for profitability improvements in the medium term. In our view, given the ongoing uncertainties in the operating environment, the stock is already sufficiently priced in for earnings growth (2025e P/E: 29x).

NIBE will be publishing its Q3 results on Friday at 8.00 am CEST. The results are expected to be weaker than last year's relatively strong figures, due to a decline in revenue.

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NIBEs Q2 rapport kom in i linje med marknadens förväntningar men något under våra estimat. Analytiker Lucas förklarar hur de senaste åren har varit för NIBE. Hur hamnade man i denna lagersituation och hur ser den ut nu i det andra kvartalet. Hur ser vi på utsikterna för resten av 2024 + 2025 samt vår rekommendation.

NIBE's Q2 results came in below our expectations, leading us to revise our estimates downward. However, the company's outlook suggests that the market has bottomed out, supported by the end of destocking and anticipated declines in interest rates, which should boost consumer demand. Medium-term valuation multiples (2025: P/E: 26x and EV/EBIT: 20x) align with the company's long-term medians and appear neutral in our view. Considering this, and a combination of earnings growth and dividends, should give around 10-15% total shareholder return, exceeding our required return.

NIBE will report its Q2 results on Friday at 8.00 CEST. We expect NIBE’s Q2 results to be weaker than the strong comparison figures due to a decline in revenue. While NIBE does not offer specific numerical guidance, the company usually shares commentary on market activity and provides some insight into future expectations. We expect the company to maintain the outlook it gave in its Q1 report, indicating that destocking will conclude by Q2 and that demand will gradually improve in the second half of the year. Our primary focus will be on updates regarding demand and the destocking situation, as we view these as the key highlights of the upcoming Q2 report.