NIBE Q3'24: Signs of recovery but risk/reward is thin
NIBE’s Q3 result was operationally slightly below our expectations, and we made small revisions to our short- and medium-term estimates. However, the company's outlook continues to show signs of a recovery in the destocking situation, but overall, the current year and at least the first half of next year will still be challenging. Eventually, demand at the manufacturer level will better correspond to underlying end consumer demand and the normalization of capacity utilization and the cost savings program should provide leverage for profitability improvements in the medium term. In our view, given the ongoing uncertainties in the operating environment, the stock is already sufficiently priced in for earnings growth (2025e P/E: 29x).
Nibe Industrier
Nibe Industrier is an industrial company. The company offers services in heating solutions and energy management. The Group's operations are divided into a number of business areas and subsidiaries, each with special expertise. The company has customers on a global level with the largest concentration in the Nordic region, Europe and North America. The products are focused primarily on corporate customers and larger institutes, but also on private individuals. The company is headquartered in Markaryd, Sweden.
Read more on company pageKey Estimate Figures18/11
2023 | 24e | 25e | |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 46,649.0 | 40,580.6 | 43,917.8 |
growth-% | 16.42 % | -13.01 % | 8.22 % |
EBIT (adj.) | 7,069.0 | 3,150.7 | 5,211.2 |
EBIT-% (adj.) | 15.15 % | 7.76 % | 11.87 % |
EPS (adj.) | 2.42 | 0.65 | 1.74 |
Dividend | 0.65 | 0.35 | 0.55 |
Dividend % | 0.92 % | 0.83 % | 1.30 % |
P/E (adj.) | 29.24 | 65.09 | 24.18 |
EV/EBITDA | 18.19 | 25.16 | 13.54 |