Stora Enso: Cyclical risk haunts even though guidance increased
Stora Enso issued a positive earnings revision yesterday for the current year, but the expected revision did not change estimates much. We feel the risk of Stora Enso’s cyclical earnings peak approaching is significant, which we believe the market is increasingly nervous about as economic growth slows down and inflation wreaks havoc. Thus, we do not see purchases worth the risk at the moment, even if the company's valuation is not unreasonable.
Stora Enso
Stora Enso is a global forest industry group. The business segments include the production and development of newsprint and book paper, consumer boxes, industrial packaging and other wood products. The group is active on a global level with the largest presence in Europe and North America. The company was founded in 1998 at the merger of Finska Enso and Swedish Stora Kopparbergs Bergslags Aktiebolag. The head office is located in Helsinki.
Read more on company pageKey Estimate Figures2022-06-13
2021 | 22e | 23e | |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 10,164.0 | 11,405.9 | 10,613.1 |
growth-% | 18.84 % | 12.22 % | -6.95 % |
EBIT (adj.) | 1,528.0 | 1,893.7 | 1,351.6 |
EBIT-% (adj.) | 15.03 % | 16.60 % | 12.73 % |
EPS (adj.) | 1.56 | 1.77 | 1.23 |
Dividend | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.70 |
Dividend % | 3.41 % | 6.95 % | 7.49 % |
P/E (adj.) | 10.31 | 5.28 | 7.63 |
EV/EBITDA | 6.70 | 4.19 | 5.18 |